Planet Descent

Community => Mess Hall => Topic started by: -<WillyP>- on February 06, 2011, 07:19:34 AM

Title: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: -<WillyP>- on February 06, 2011, 07:19:34 AM
Magnetic Polar Shifts Causing Massive Global Superstorms - Salem-News.Com (http://www.salem-news.com/articles/february042011/global-superstorms-ta.php)

What do you think?  According to this article, polar shifts happen erratically and have happened in as little as 50,000 years, with an average of 500,000, yet the last one was about 780,000 years ago.  Large 'superstorms' and other things such as the rapid acceleration of polar shift, are pointed to as evidence a shift is in the near future.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: NUMBERZero on February 06, 2011, 08:23:12 AM
Damn. I always had an idea of setting up the biggest super magnets at the poles to stabilize the magnetic current. Of course, it would cost trillions of dollars.


When did they say that it would flip? Did it say it anywhere?
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Kaiaatzl on February 06, 2011, 09:00:52 AM
The flip is a few thousand years overdue actually.

But if it happened, we'd know.  All electronic devices would stop working.
This was a big part of the premise of that book I mentioned I was writing on the DBB actually.

It was on the Quirks and Quarks "Doomsday Scenarios" episode.

I'd say if it didn't happen during our grandparent's generation, or our parent's generation (though, we technically don't know that yet :P), it's very unlikely to happen during our generation.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: DarkWing on February 06, 2011, 12:13:16 PM
 :o  The End is coming!
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Scyphi on February 07, 2011, 06:29:04 AM
This reminds me of the movie The Core (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Core). That, and an episode from EUReKA (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EUReKA), both of which dealt with similar subjects.

If does happen, I'd somehow would not be surprised if me in little ol' Idaho got spared from it, as that seems to be the ongoing trend as of late. Nothing that eventful weather-wise ever seems to happen in Idaho. :P
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Alieo on February 08, 2011, 12:52:21 AM
I tell you what... if the poles shift in such a way that Antarctica becomes a tropical paradise, I'll be the FIRST one there for real estate dibs!
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: -<WillyP>- on February 08, 2011, 11:48:06 AM
That would require the axis of rotation to shift.  If that happened, that dramatically, within the span of a human lifetime, I am not so sure we would survive.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Matthew on February 09, 2011, 03:23:55 PM
The north and south poles will still be poles. Just the opposite poles. So they'll still be freezing cold.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Kaiaatzl on February 09, 2011, 06:23:24 PM
Technically the magnetic poles don't match up exactly with the geographic poles.  (The magnetic south pole is in Hudson's Bay in Canada).  But yeah you're mostly right about the cold part.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Teh poke man on February 10, 2011, 12:33:10 PM
I suppose I should start backing up my stuff onto optical media now :(
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: NUMBERZero on February 10, 2011, 06:14:17 PM
Is it remotely possible that a lead box could save some things?

And what about the Library of Congress? That place stores 167 Terabytes of data and I hear that they are about to copy all Tweeter messages into it!
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Alieo on February 10, 2011, 08:22:41 PM
This thread reminds me of a show I listen to. It's called "Coast to Coast AM" and it's hosted by George Noory. Anyone ever heard of it? They talk about stuff like this all the time. The show comes on at midnight central time and I always listen to this program as I fall asleep and set the sleep timer to my radio.

http://www.coasttocoastam.com

Edit/Add-On: Do you think that the reason we may be heading into an ice age as a result of this magnetic shift is kind of like the earth's defense mechanism against the solar radiation that the earth is going to be bombarded with when the magnetic field temporarily disappears?
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Kaiaatzl on February 11, 2011, 06:53:15 AM
Rule of thumb - if it doesn't make sense then probably not.
The planet is not sentient -- i.e. it doesn't care about protecting itself or what's on it.  There would have to be an external factor that would go along with the magnetic shift and cause an ice age.
And also I'm pretty sure the magnetic field wouldn't disappear in the process.  I could be wrong, but judging from past magnetic shifts... (They didn't wipe out all life on the planet, or I wouldn't be typing this).
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Scyphi on February 11, 2011, 07:28:52 AM
Quote from: wazzazzle
The planet is not sentient


Well, that's actually a subject of debate with some people. For your reading pleasure, see Gaia hypothesis (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaia_theory).

This isn't to say I support the idea, I just thought it was an interesting read. :)
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: VANGUARD on February 11, 2011, 09:00:16 AM
I believe in what will happen in the Bible. To not make this get into such a spiritual/religious conversation, I just believe other things are going to happen. Since it hasn't, this I don't believe is true.
Same thing with 12/12/12, Dec 12th at 12:12, or something, lots of 12's. My theory is this started as a joke and then it made others nervous. sort of like that radio program years ago, "War of the Worlds" or something.

in a nutshell, I wouldn't hold my breath on this. If I did, I'd be dead holding it  ;D
sorry for a dumb joke
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Scyphi on February 11, 2011, 10:29:56 AM
I'm with Vanguard on that matter, but I suppose it could still happen, just not to the doomsday degree it's been described as. In fact, it's possible nothing noticeable happens at all, it just happens without a hitch, and life moves on.  8)

Kind of like the supposed Y2K bug and the "disasters" it was supposed to cause. :P
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: -<WillyP>- on February 11, 2011, 11:38:04 AM
The expectations is that we will have more super-storms, and that they will be more super-er. Read the article.  No doomsday stuff, nothing about data loss,  or any electronics failures.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: VANGUARD on February 11, 2011, 01:06:29 PM
funny you brought that up Scyphi. I was just reading some dilbert comics, and Dogbert brought up the Y2K. It's in 1996, fall, winter, where it was mentioned in Dilbert comics.

The bible talks about the Earth's birth pains as the ending of the world. Like we saw a lot of earthquakes, back in early 2010 I believe. funny they say birth pain, like a woman giving birth. both hurt, and at the end.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Kaiaatzl on February 11, 2011, 04:46:34 PM
I'm with Vanguard on that matter, but I suppose it could still happen, just not to the doomsday degree it's been described as. In fact, it's possible nothing noticeable happens at all, it just happens without a hitch, and life moves on.  8)

Kind of like the supposed Y2K bug and the "disasters" it was supposed to cause. :P

Obviously we can't know for sure until it actually happens.

BTW I know about what Vanguard is saying, I consider it pseudoscience.

To clarify, pseudoscience does not mean it's not true, only that it's impossible to test or gather concrete evidence for or against it.

I consider the Gaia hypothesis more of a point of view than an actual hypothesis (I have heard about it before, though I forget where).  In any case I don't think it could cause an ice age.  And it's viewing the biosphere as a single organism (which includes us btw), not necessarily things that the biosphere doesn't interact with (such as the magnetic poles -- they make life possible but the biotic part of the biosphere doesn't interact with them except possibly in rare cases -- and us -- in any case that would be like a few cells in your body lysing so that the whole could survive).  A rather extreme example of what I mean: the biosphere doesn't include the planet's core.
Incidentally if you take that point of view it means humanity is a virus or some form of infection.

In any case, I don't think it's likely to happen during our lifetimes.  We may have done something at a distant point in prehistory that would have erased the shifts entirely (apparently we averted an ice age during the middle ages without knowing it -- we only understood it recently).

@WillyP: is there a way to block this thread from appearing on the "new posts" sidebar (for example, in my profile)?  It's getting (to me at least) to be too much like E&C was/is on the DBB, and I'm afraid of what I might say next (there was a reason I decided to ignore E&C entirely, and it didn't have anything to do with the other people there).
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: SaladBadger on February 11, 2011, 05:15:39 PM
Wait... why would a poleshift make electricity stop flowing? We've run plenty of electronic devices in places that have no magnetic field, I don't see why a pole shift would be any different.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Kaiaatzl on February 11, 2011, 05:18:50 PM
That's what the physicist on Quirks and Quarks said anyway.  I have no way of knowing how it would happen...  (I removed the part on my post that referenced that, because it was getting too edgy).
My understanding was that it would change the flow so that our devices would stop working because of the way we designed them.  Obviously electric current itself wouldn't stop if you think about it -- animal life has survived all the polar shifts so far, which means that neurons and muscles still worked the same (both rely on small electric currents -- that's one way some carnivorous fish can detect prey).
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: -<WillyP>- on February 11, 2011, 07:34:19 PM
@wazzazzle: Not that I am aware of.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Scyphi on February 12, 2011, 07:06:59 AM
Quote
To clarify, pseudoscience does not mean it's not true, only that it's impossible to test or gather concrete evidence for or against it.

A good way to put it. Basically, all this is a bunch of scientists noticing a pattern and theorizing a bunch of possible outcomes, and nothing more. It's also possible the article that brought this subject up twisted the matter in a different, doomsday-y way, to try and generate more interest, and made it seem worse that it really is, if it were to happen.

Quote
I consider the Gaia hypothesis more of a...

I only brought that up because the conversation reminded me of it, and I thought somebody might take interest. I agree, it's really more of a personal opinion, and furthermore, probably has next to no bearing on the present subject.

Quote
We may have done something at a distant point in prehistory that would have erased the shifts entirely (apparently we averted an ice age during the middle ages without knowing it -- we only understood it recently).

I was wondering if anyone was going to bring this up, because the same thought had crossed my mind as well. Humankind has done lots to influence the earth and all life upon it, and while some view that as a bad thing, it's more than possible that we may have done as wazzazzle suggests, did something to the planet to shield ourselves from stuff like this. For example, about the ice age we had managed to "miss," I heard that one theory to explain that was that the onset of agriculture by humankind started a kind of gradual greenhouse effect (caused by the plants we were mass-growing) that generated enough heat to prevent the ice age.

Betcha never thought something like global warming could actually be a good thing, eh? ;)

Quote
is there a way to block this thread from appearing on the "new posts" sidebar?

You could do what I do and just ignore it all together and visit the threads individually. When you come across a thread you don't want to visit anymore, just skip it. That's what I do in the Technical thread (surely someone's noticed that I never post there?) seeing that I highly doubt I could be of any use over there. :P

Quote
why would a poleshift make electricity stop flowing?

When did this idea come up, anyway? I must of missed it...either way, I know enough about science to see that this isn't too likely to happen, at least not by something like the magnetic poles shifting.  :-\
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: SaladBadger on February 12, 2011, 07:58:09 AM
Quote
why would a poleshift make electricity stop flowing?

When did this idea come up, anyway? I must of missed it...either way, I know enough about science to see that this isn't too likely to happen, at least not by something like the magnetic poles shifting.  :-\
When I was reading the Wikipedia writeup on the subject, they mentioned that computer systems could potentially be vulnerable because a burst of solar winds could possibly damage them. I'd be willing to say this is probably the same reason why the mars rovers need special radiation-hardened computer systems, because Mars lacks a magnetic field, so the solar winds can directly interact with the planet.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Matthew on February 12, 2011, 08:42:25 AM
The reason a Magnetic Polar Shift would be bad is because, theoretically, there will be a short time where it's nonexistant or not strong enough to protect the planet from solar wind if there happens to be a solar storm at the time.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Kaiaatzl on February 12, 2011, 09:28:07 AM
And then life would be back to the deep-sea vents.
Be interesting to see how it would evolve after that... but of course we never would.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Infamus on February 17, 2011, 06:38:31 PM
Okay, about computers crashing: not going to happen. Why? Because the field will be weak when it does flip, so it will affect next to nothing. The field gets weaker and weaker over time, and THEN it flips. I saw a documentary on it. Then it will slowly come back up to speed. That also means that we are worse off NOW then we will be when it flips.

We have more to fear from the hypothesized "solar super-storm" than anything else.

I think the our over-due'ness in the mag-field flipping is correlated to the coming solar spike.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Scyphi on February 18, 2011, 06:12:50 AM
Funny, I just saw a video for class that discussed that solar flare super-storm, but the odds of it happening are not much better. Just something scientists think might happen here soon, but no one will actually know until it happens. And even when it did, we'll probably know it's coming anywhere from more than a dozen hours to a couple days in advance (depending on it's speed), giving us some time to (albeit quickly) prepare.

And even then, the worse it'd do is interfere with communications, short out a few electronics (mostly in space) and maybe cause a blackout in portions of the world, so I haven't really been losing any sleep over it.

'Course, I haven't been losing any sleep over the magnetic pole shift either. Has anyone else?
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Kaiaatzl on February 18, 2011, 08:19:53 AM
Quote
'Course, I haven't been losing any sleep over the magnetic pole shift either. Has anyone else?

Well why would we?  It's not like we can change it (maybe some person can, but not us).  Better to not worry about it.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Infamus on February 18, 2011, 09:14:14 AM
Well it sure will cull the herd for people who depend to highly on electronics. IF they start failing left and right.

Anyway, going overboard about something you can do nothing about is a sure fired way for it to have some massive negative impact on your life.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Matthew on February 18, 2011, 04:29:09 PM
Anyway, going overboard about something you can do nothing about is a sure fired way for it to have some massive negative impact on your life.
Totally agree with you there. Like on 2012 I'll sit in front of the TV and laugh at the people going crazy.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: NUMBERZero on February 19, 2011, 10:37:14 AM
You know, when 2012 comes around, I'd bet a lot of people are going to bite the dust. It's a sad prospect. I'll take pitty on them.


But I'll laugh at the ones who are going mad, running around town, while the day goes by...



Hey, what about all of the people who don't believe in it? What about their security? Some believers might be really bad people and they might decide to take the world down with them.

My advice to you is to lock up your daughta, lock up your wife. Lock up your back door 'n' run for your life!

Actually, just lock down the house using any means necessary and be ready to fend off everything. You see a threat, you remove the threat.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: VANGUARD on February 22, 2011, 07:45:29 AM
I'm assuming you mean daughter.

Was there this sort of scare during the Y2K?

I think there's more hype in this than anything. I don't believe the year will end at 2012. I believe it will go on. But for whatever reason, let's say it did, so it ends. That's fine. I'll be with the Lord. One day, we'll have a new Earth. It will be great.
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: -<WillyP>- on February 22, 2011, 08:30:44 AM
A new Earth?  Do you mean a new home planet?  I would not think it would be called Earth.  And it sure as heck won't happen by 2012.  And this one isn't going anywhere that fast, either.  On the other hand, we will likely get a new President in 2012!
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: Scyphi on February 22, 2011, 11:27:17 AM
Quote from: WillyP
A new Earth?

I think I know what Vanguard means by this, it's sort of a religious thing. What he's saying is that someday the Earth itself would be "renewed," am I right, Vanguard? Possibly not, I know it's looked upon in different ways by different people.

Quote from: WillyP
On the other hand, we will likely get a new President in 2012!

I'm not sure if that comforts me any, as I'm not entirely convinced any replacements for the current president will be any better. :P But I suppose one can hope, and so hope I shall. :)

At the rate things are going, I'm betting that 2012 will be the most boring year of the century, because of all the hype about all this supposed stuff that'll happen that, hey, probably isn't going to. :P
Title: Re: Magnetic Polar Shifts?
Post by: -<WillyP>- on February 22, 2011, 01:12:31 PM
Ah! Kinda like the Genesis Device in 'Wrath of Khan'!